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########             Access Denied?: The Sino-American Contest for Military Primacy in Asia             ########
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Date: 1 August 2025

Authors: Nicholas D. Anderson & Daryl G. Press

Title: Access Denied?: The Sino-American Contest for Military Primacy in Asia

Contacts: nick_anderson@gwu.edu; daryl.g.press@dartmouth.edu

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Thank you for your interest in the supplementary material accompanying the article "Access Denied?: The Sino-
American Contest for Military Primacy in Asia." Everything necessary to understand and replicate the results 
in the article and appendix and to make use of the model is included in the supplemental material.

If you make use of the model or any of the data in your research or writing, please cite the following 
article:

Nicholas D. Anderson and Daryl G. Press, "Access Denied?: The Sino-American Contest for Military Primacy in 
Asia," International Security, Vol. 50, No. 1 (Summer 2025).

The files included in the supplementary material are:

1. Access Denied - Appendix.pdf -- This is the appendix that accompanies the article.

2. Access Denied - Model.xlsx -- This is the main model used to produce the results presented in the article 
   and appendix. Use this file to replicate the results presented in Figures 2-5 in the article, as well as the
   sensitivity analysis in the article and in appendix B.

3. Access Denied - Model (simulation).xlsx -- This is the model used to produce the simulation results 
   presented in the article and appendix. It is identical to the main model (#2, above), but is set up to 
   run Monte Carlo simulations. Use this file to (nearly) replicate the simulation results presented in Table 1 
   in the article and in appendix B.

4. Access Denied - Full Results.xlsx -- These are the full results from the analysis in the article and 
   appendix in Microsoft Excel form. It includes detailed information about the inputs associated with each 
   scenario as well as the main figures from the article.

5. Access Denied - Parking Area Strikes Model.xlsx -- This is the model used to produce the parking area 
   strikes data that is included in the main model (#2, above) and simulation model (#3, above). This file
   allows the user to replicate the inputs for the parking area strikes component of the main model (#2, 
   Parking Area Strikes tab, cells B47:RE132).

6. Access Denied - Map.kml -- This is a Google Earth Pro file that maps the important locations that are 
   included in the analysis in the paper and appendix.

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